3.2 RECOGNITION OF BROADBAND FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
One of the major drivers for broadband deployment (even when not on an open access basis) is the impact that it is perceived to have on economic development. Since broadband is a relatively new phenomenon, there is a limited amount of empirical research on its economic impact. However, all of the research studies that have been undertaken to date demonstrate that broadband deployment results in very substantial benefits to the economy.
The earliest of these studies
have been from the United States, where researchers attempted to
estimate the impact that widespread
deployment and adoption of broadband technology would have on the
economy at a
national level. The basic conclusions
were as follows:
- Widespread deployment of broadband could contribute up to an extra $500 billion annually to the US GDP (Crandall and Jackson 2001).[ii]
- Ubiquitous adoption of residential broadband could result in the creation of more than 1.2 million jobs in the US (Criterion Economics 2003).[iii]
- Universally available broadband could result in cost savings to the US economy of $233 billion over 6 years (Yankee Group 2001).[iv]
- Adoption of Internet business solutions by US organizations has resulted in an estimated $155 billion in savings over the period 1998 – 2001 (Momentum 2003).[v]
These observations have been borne out by studies from other
countries. In a study conducted by CEGR
(2003)[vi]
for the Broadband Industry Group on the impact of broadband on the UK
economy, it estimated that:
- By 2015, the productivity benefits of broadband could be as much as 2.5% resulting in an annual increase to the UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of £21.9 billion.
- Additional benefits that could be realised by 2015 were an annual estimated increase in UK fixed expenditures of £8 billion and an increase in annual net exports of £11 billion.
More
recent studies measuring the economic impact of broadband at a regional and
community level have confirmed that there is a substantial quantifiable impact.
In a
study undertaken by ACIL Tasman (2004)[vii]
on the economic impact of broadband to the State of Victoria in Australia (population of 4.9 million), it
found that broadband would have significant positive impacts on productivity,
employment and investment. It forecast that over the period 2004 -2115;
- An annual increase of 0.82% in Gross State Product amounting to a total contribution of AUD $15 billion to the State economy.
- An annual increase of 0.5% in employment growth that would equate at its peak to 18,000 jobs in 2008.
- An increase in investment of 10.46%.
In a
study conducted over a broad range of U.S. communities where broadband had been
deployed since December 1999, the researchers found that between 1998 and 2002,
these communities experienced more rapid growth in employment, number of
businesses overall, and businesses in IT- intensive sectors. As noted by the authors, ‘…the early
results presented here suggest that the assumed (and oft-touted) economic
impacts of broadband are both real and measurable.’ (Lehr, Osorio, Gillett
and Sirbu, 2004)[viii]
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REFERENCES
[ii] Crandall, R. and Jackson.C (2001), “The $500 Billion Opportunity: The Potential Economic
Benefit of Widespread Diffusion of Broadband Internet Access,” mimeo, Criterion
Economics, Washington, DC.
http://www.criterioneconomics.com
/docs/Crandall_Jackson_500_Billion_Opportunity_July_2001.pdf
[iii] Pociask, S., “Building a Nationwide Broadband Network: Speeding Job
Growth”, TeleNomic Research, LLC with support from the New Millennium
Research
Council (NMRC), February 25, 2002.
http://www.newmillenniumresearch.org/
event-02-25-2002/jobspaper.pdf
[iv] Yankee Group (2001), “The Collaborative Commerce Value Statement: A $223 billion Cost Savings Opportunity Over Six Years,” Module B-to-B Commerce & Applications, Vol. 6, No. 6, Yankee Group, Boston, Mass., June 14, 2001.
[v] Varian, H., Litan, R., Elder, A., and Schulter, J.,
“The Net Impact Study:
The Projected Economic Benefits of the Internet in the
United States, United Kingdom, France and Germany”, (Jan.2002).
http://netimpactstudy.com/Net-Impact_Study_Report.pdf
[vi] Centre for Economics and Business Research Ltd. (2003), “ The Economic Impact of a Competitive Market for Broadband”, prepared for the Broadband Industry Group in the United Kingdom.
http://www.bigfuture.org/ cebr%20Final%20Report.pdf
[vii] ACIL Tasman (2004), “Regional Economic Impacts of Broadband Adoption in Victoria”, prepared for Multimedia Victoria, August 2004.
http://www.mmv.vic.gov.au/ broadband/Economicbenefits
[viii] Lehr, W., Osorio, C., Gillett, S., and Sirbu, M, (2005) “Measuring Broadband’s Economic Impact”, paper presented at the 33rd Research Conference on Communication, Information, and Internet Policy (TPRC), Arlington, VA, and revised as of October 4, 2005. http://itc.mit.edu/itel/docs/2005/MeasuringBB_EconImpact.pdf
